Quantcast
Channel: Albanius
Viewing all articles
Browse latest Browse all 58

Targeting final contributions toward a BLUE TSUNAMI

$
0
0

There is a time for every purpose under heaven, sang Pete Seeger, after Ecclesiastes..  The primary season was the time to support better Democrats; this is the time to support MORE DEMOCRATS.

I have been targeting my small (mostly $27) contributions to where they can have the most impact: competitve races by D challengers, especially in battleground states, where Democratic GOTV also helps Biden/Harris.  I rarely contribute to incumbents, who generally can raise enough money w/o help from out-of-district small donors like me.

Even if Biden/Harris not only win the popular vote and electoral college, but also head off the Lyin King’s efforts to disrupt the election and stop the vote count (along with grass roots mobilization by many thousands of citizens and networks such as protecttheresults.com), they will need working majorities in both houses of Congress, especially by retaking the Senate with a few votes to spare.

In Senate races I am targeting Bullock in MT, Gross in AK, Greenfield in IA, and Bollier in KS for extra contributions.  Those are all competitive challengersin low population states, where a given amount of money will have a relatively larger proportional impact. AK and MT each have only one House member,  (proportional to  state population), IA and KS have 4 each, compared to 13 House seat for NC and 36 for Texas. I am also giving again to Ossoff in GA-1 and Warnock in GA-2. Winning those races on top of the likely pickups in CO, AZ, ME and NC (and ideally holding Doug Jones in Alabama) would give team Blue something like a 56-44 Senate majority. (I already have been giving monthly to all those races and also Harrison in SC, who doesn’t need any more money; likewise Gideon vs Collins in ME, and McGrath vs Mitch in KY are also flush with cash.)

Although the Dems are likely to build on their House lead, I just made late contributions to D House challengers in states where party control of delegations is in play.  That is ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL in case for example, Barr’s DOJ and the Feralist Society’s SCOTUS collude with (gerrymandered) R-controlled state legislatures in PA, MI, WI, and FL to appoint tRump electors regardless of the vote in those states.  So there is a possibility that the Presidency will be decided by the House of Representatives, with EACH STATE DELEGATION GETTING ONE VOTE.

I looked up the House delegations by Party to find the most flippable state delegations, and checked those against the list of most competitve races for R-held House on 270toWin, Rachel Bitecofer’s base of operations.  The most flippable House delegations are the at-large races in AK and MT with one GOP incumbent, and FL-15, all states with a 1-vote R majority of Representatives.  Also, PA is evenly divided 9 to 9 —  D Challengers are competitive in PA-1 and PA-10, and MI currently has 8 Ds, 7 Rs, and the open seat vacated by former R Justin Amash: MI-3.  Also in play is MI-6 where progressive Jon Hoadley is challenging the odious Fred Upton. All those races (especially PA, MI and FL) are also in battleground states for the Presidential race; likewise MT, AK and MI have competitive Senate races, so GOTV of D voters will help doubly or triply.

State Legislative elections are also very important especially in states where one or more houses can be taken back by Dems in time for redistricting next year, but David Nir has been targeting those for the rest of us.


Viewing all articles
Browse latest Browse all 58

Trending Articles



<script src="https://jsc.adskeeper.com/r/s/rssing.com.1596347.js" async> </script>